| dc.contributor |
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.) |
|
| dc.contributor |
Operations Research |
|
| dc.creator |
Gaver, Donald Paul |
|
| dc.creator |
Jacobs, Patricia A. |
|
| dc.date |
1993-12 |
|
| dc.date |
2013-03-07T21:52:07Z |
|
| dc.date |
2013-03-07T21:52:07Z |
|
| dc.date |
1993-12 |
|
| dc.date.accessioned |
2022-05-19T07:32:07Z |
|
| dc.date.available |
2022-05-19T07:32:07Z |
|
| dc.identifier |
http://hdl.handle.net/10945/29763 |
|
| dc.identifier |
NPS-OR-93-020 |
|
| dc.identifier.uri |
http://localhost:8080/xmlui/handle/CUHPOERS/100024 |
|
| dc.description |
Numerical meteorological models are used to assist in the prediction of weather. Each run of a numerical model produces forecasts of meteorological variables which are used as preliminary predictions of the future values of these variables. These initial predictions are referred to as first-guess values. Estimation of the mean-square first-guess error is required in the optimal interpolation process in the numerical prediction of atmospheric variables. Several predictors for the mean-square error of the first-guess wind speeds are studied. The results suggest that prediction using observed covariates tend to be better than those using first-guess covariates. However, observed covariates are not always available. Predictions using first-guess covariates are better at the 250 mb level than the 850 or 500 mb levels. Of those first-guess covariates studied, first-guess wind speed appears to be the best. |
|
| dc.description |
Naval Research Laboratory-West |
|
| dc.description |
http://archive.org/details/comparisonofpred00gave |
|
| dc.description |
RH2G5 |
|
| dc.description |
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. |
|
| dc.format |
application/pdf |
|
| dc.language |
en_US |
|
| dc.publisher |
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School |
|
| dc.rights |
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States. |
|
| dc.subject |
MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION |
|
| dc.subject |
Gaussian Model With Log-Linear Scale Parameter |
|
| dc.subject |
Nonparametric Models |
|
| dc.subject |
Prediction Of Mean Square Errors |
|
| dc.subject |
First-Guess Errors In Meteorological Models |
|
| dc.subject |
Generalized Linear Regression |
|
| dc.title |
A Comparison of Predictors for First-Guess Wind Speed Errors |
|
| dc.type |
Technical Report |
|