Sangam: A Confluence of Knowledge Streams

Effect of baseline snowpack assumptions in the HySIM model in predicting future hydrological behavior of a Himalayan catchment

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dc.creator Remesan, Renji
dc.creator Begam, Sazeda
dc.creator Holman, Ian
dc.date 2018-12-04T12:18:52Z
dc.date 2018-12-04T12:18:52Z
dc.date 2018-11-23
dc.date.accessioned 2022-05-25T16:40:17Z
dc.date.available 2022-05-25T16:40:17Z
dc.identifier Remesan R, Begam S, Holman IP. Effect of baseline snowpack assumptions in the HySIM model in predicting future hydrological behavior of a Himalayan catchment. Hydrology Research, Volume 50, Issue 2, April 2019, pp. 694-708
dc.identifier 1998-9563
dc.identifier https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2018.069
dc.identifier http://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/13690
dc.identifier.uri http://localhost:8080/xmlui/handle/CUHPOERS/182542
dc.description Glaciers and snowpacks influence streamflow by altering the volume and timing of discharge. Without reliable data on baseline snow and ice volumes, properties and behaviour, initializing hydrological models for climate impact assessment is challenging. Two contrasting HySIM model builds were calibrated and validated against observed discharge data (2000–2008) assuming that snowmelt of the baseline permanent snowpack reserves in the high-elevation sub-catchment are either constrained (snowmelt is limited to the seasonal snow accumulation) or unconstrained (snowmelt is only energy-limited). We then applied both models within a scenario-neutral framework to develop impact response surface of hydrological response to future changes in annual temperature and precipitation. Both models had similar baseline model performance (NSE of 0.69–0.70 in calibration and 0.64–0.66 in validation), but the impact response surfaces differ in the magnitude and (for some combinations) direction of model response to climate change at low (Q10) and high (Q90) daily flows. The implications of historical data inadequacies in snowpack characterization for assessing the impacts of climate change and the associated timing of hydrological tipping points are discussed.
dc.language en
dc.publisher IWA Publishing
dc.rights Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International
dc.rights http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
dc.subject climate change
dc.subject evapotranspiration
dc.subject impact response surface
dc.subject snowpack
dc.subject TRMM3B42V7
dc.subject uncertainty
dc.title Effect of baseline snowpack assumptions in the HySIM model in predicting future hydrological behavior of a Himalayan catchment
dc.type Article


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