Description:
The behavior of commodities is critical
for developing and developed countries alike. This paper
contributes to the empirical evidence on the co-movement and
determinants of commodity prices. Using nonstationary panel
methods, the authors document a statistically significant
degree of co-movement due to a common factor. Within a
Factor Augmented VAR approach, real interest rate and
uncertainty, as postulated by a simple asset pricing model,
are both found to be negatively related to this common
factor. This evidence is robust to the inclusion of demand
and supply shocks, which both positively impact on
co-movement of commodity prices.