Description:
This paper investigates the short-run
consumption expenditure dynamics and the interaction of
public and private arrangements of ultra-poor and
labor-constrained households in Malawi using an original
dataset from the Mchinjii social cash transfer pilot project
(one of the first experiments of social protection policies
based on unconditional cash transfers in Sub-Saharan
Africa). The authors exploit the unique source of exogenous
variation provided by the randomized component of the
program in order to isolate the effect of cash transfers on
consumption expenditures as well as the net crowding out
effect of cash transfers on private arrangements. They find
a statistically significant reduction effect on the level of
consumption expenditures for those households receiving cash
transfers, thus leading to the rejection of the perfect risk
sharing hypothesis. Moreover, by looking at the effects of
cash transfers on private arrangements in a context
characterized by imperfect enforceability of contracts and
by a social fabric heavily compromised by high HIV/AIDS
rates, the analysis confirms the presence of crowding out
effects on private arrangements when looking at gifts and
(to a lesser extent) remittances, while informal loans seem
to be completely independent from the cash transfer's
reception. From a policy perspective, the paper offers a
contribution to the evaluation of the very recent wave of
social protection policies based on (unconditional) cash
transfers in Sub-Saharan Africa, suggesting that there might
be an important role for public interventions aimed at
helping households to pool risk more effectively.