Description:
This paper examines the determinants of
stock markets' vulnerability to the 2007-2008 crisis.
Given that the United States (US) was the crisis epicenter,
the authors analyze the factors driving the co-movement
between US returns and stock returns in 83 countries. The
analysis distinguishes between the period before and after
the collapse of Lehman Brothers. The findings indicate that
the main channel of transmission was financial. There is
also evidence of a "wake-up call" or
"demonstration effect" in the first stage of the
crisis, because countries with vulnerable banking and
corporate sectors exhibited higher co-movement with the US
market. However, despite a collapse in trade across
countries, the analysis does not find support for this
channel of transmission.