Description:
This paper reviews the effectiveness and
efficiency of key policy instruments for the achievement of
the Millennium Development Goals (MDG). Based on a simple
cross-country regression analysis, the paper argues that
average Millennium Development Goal progress is likely to be
too slow to meet education and health sector targets in a
number of developing countries. The paper further shows that
MDG achievement can be described by a transition path with
declining rates of progress. More detailed analysis reveals
that the transition toward universal primary school
enrollment in poor countries with low initial enrollment has
accelerated considerably in the more recent past. The main
part of the paper then focuses on the role of demand versus
supply-side factors in social service utilization in
education and health. The review arrives at the following
rules of thumb that reflect some of the key determinants of
achievement of the Millennium Development Goals: First,
specific single policy interventions can have a considerable
impact on social service utilization and specific human
development outcomes. For example, improving access to basic
health services, in particular to vaccination, has been a
key factor in reducing child mortality rates in a number of
very poor countries. Second, demand-side policies have
proved extremely effective, for example in raising school
enrollment and attainment levels. However, there may be more
scope for targeting the demand-side in the health sector.
Third, policy effectiveness and efficiency are highly
dependent on initial conditions and the specificities of the
respective policy. Fourth, complementarities between MDG
targets, in particular social service utilization, are
likely to be very important.