The Impact of Water Supply Variability on Treaty Cooperation between International Bilateral River Basin Riparian States

Dinar, Ariel; Blankespoor, Brian; Dinar, Shlomi; Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep

dc.creator	Dinar, Ariel
dc.creator	Blankespoor, Brian
dc.creator	Dinar, Shlomi
dc.creator	Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep
dc.date	2012-03-19T18:40:32Z
dc.date	2012-03-19T18:40:32Z
dc.date	2010-05-01
dc.date.accessioned	2023-02-17T21:04:19Z
dc.date.available	2023-02-17T21:04:19Z
dc.identifier	http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100622080636
dc.identifier	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3828
dc.identifier.uri	http://localhost:8080/xmlui/handle/CUHPOERS/244792
dc.description	This paper assesses the impact of water supply variability on treaty cooperation between international bilateral river basin riparian states. Climate change is anticipated to change the variability of water supply, as well as its expected magnitude. Previous studies have focused mainly on water scarcity, measured in terms of mean precipitation or per capita water availability in the country, as a trigger for conflict or cooperation. The water variability measure used here captures both annual runoff variability and precipitation variability over periods of 30 and 100 years. The analysis used economic and international relations data to identify incentives for international cooperation in addressing water supply variability. The authors find that small-to-moderate increases in variability create an impetus for cooperation, although large increases in variability would reduce incentives for treaty cooperation. Stronger diplomatic and trade relations support cooperation, while uneven economic power inhibits cooperation. Various measures of democracy/governance suggest different impacts on cooperation across the basin riparians. The findings have policy implications in the context of preparedness for impacts of climate change on the water sector.
dc.language	English
dc.relation	Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5307
dc.rights	CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights	http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.rights	World Bank
dc.subject	AGRICULTURE
dc.subject	ALLOCATION AGREEMENTS
dc.subject	ANNUAL PRECIPITATION
dc.subject	ANNUAL RUNOFF
dc.subject	ARID AREAS
dc.subject	AVAILABLE WATER
dc.subject	BASIN AREA
dc.subject	BASIN LEVEL
dc.subject	CLIMATE
dc.subject	CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject	CLIMATE CHANGES
dc.subject	CLIMATE IMPACTS
dc.subject	CLIMATE STUDIES
dc.subject	CLIMATE VARIABILITY
dc.subject	CLIMATES
dc.subject	CLIMATIC CONDITIONS
dc.subject	CLIMATIC PHENOMENA
dc.subject	COAST
dc.subject	CONSTRUCTION
dc.subject	DRIER REGIONS
dc.subject	DROUGHT
dc.subject	ENVIRONMENTAL LAW
dc.subject	ENVIRONMENTS
dc.subject	EXTERNALITIES
dc.subject	FLOOD CONTROL
dc.subject	FLOW REGIMES
dc.subject	FOREST
dc.subject	FOREST COVER
dc.subject	GROUNDWATER
dc.subject	HYDROLOGIC CYCLE
dc.subject	HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE
dc.subject	HYDROLOGICAL MODEL
dc.subject	INTERNATIONAL RIVER BASINS
dc.subject	INTERNATIONAL WATERS
dc.subject	LAND COVER
dc.subject	LAND USE
dc.subject	MEAN ANNUAL RUNOFF
dc.subject	MUNICIPAL WATER
dc.subject	NATURAL DISASTERS
dc.subject	NATURAL RESOURCES
dc.subject	POLLUTION
dc.subject	PROPERTY RIGHTS
dc.subject	QUALITY OF WATER
dc.subject	RAINFALL
dc.subject	RESOURCE ALLOCATION
dc.subject	RIPARIAN COUNTRIES
dc.subject	RIPARIAN STATES
dc.subject	RIVER
dc.subject	RIVER BASIN
dc.subject	RIVER BASIN MANAGEMENT
dc.subject	RIVER BASINS
dc.subject	RIVER FLOW
dc.subject	RIVER SYSTEM
dc.subject	RIVERS
dc.subject	SCARCE WATER
dc.subject	SCARCE WATER RESOURCES
dc.subject	SEA
dc.subject	SNOW
dc.subject	SOIL
dc.subject	SOIL MOISTURE
dc.subject	SOILS
dc.subject	SURFACE WATER
dc.subject	SURFACE WATER BODIES
dc.subject	TREATIES
dc.subject	VEGETATION
dc.subject	WATER ALLOCATION
dc.subject	WATER AVAILABILITY
dc.subject	WATER FLOWS
dc.subject	WATER LAW
dc.subject	WATER MANAGEMENT
dc.subject	WATER PROVIDERS
dc.subject	WATER QUANTITY
dc.subject	WATER REGULATION
dc.subject	WATER RESOURCE
dc.subject	WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
dc.subject	WATER RESOURCES
dc.subject	WATER SCARCITY
dc.subject	WATER SECTOR
dc.subject	WATER SHARING
dc.subject	WATER SUPPLIES
dc.subject	WATER SUPPLY
dc.subject	WATER SYSTEMS
dc.title	The Impact of Water Supply Variability on Treaty Cooperation between International Bilateral River Basin Riparian States
dc.type	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
dc.coverage	The World Region
dc.coverage	The World Region