Description:
Noting that South Africa may be one of
the few African countries that could contribute to
mitigating climate change, the authors explore the impact of
a carbon tax relative to alternative energy taxes on
economic welfare. Using a disaggregate general-equilibrium
model of the South African economy, they capture the
structural characteristics of the energy sector, linking a
supply mix that is heavily skewed toward coal to energy use
by different sectors and hence their carbon content. The
authors consider a "pure" carbon tax as well as
various proxy taxes such as those on energy or
energy-intensive sectors like transport and basic metals,
all of which achieve the same level of carbon reduction. In
general, the more targeted the tax to carbon emissions, the
better the welfare results. If a carbon tax is feasible, it
will have the least marginal cost of abatement by a
substantial amount when compared to alternative tax
instruments. If a carbon tax is not feasible, a sales tax on
energy inputs is the next best option. Moreover, labor
market distortions such as labor market segmentation or
unemployment will likely dominate the welfare and equity
implications of a carbon tax for South Africa. This being
the case, if South Africa were able to remove some of the
distortions in the labor market, the cost of carbon taxation
would be negligible. In short, the discussion of carbon
taxation in South Africa can focus on considerations other
than the economic welfare costs, which are likely to be
quite low.