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dc.creator Elbers, Chris
dc.creator Gunning, Jan Willem
dc.creator Kinsey, Bill
dc.date 2012-03-30T07:12:35Z
dc.date 2012-03-30T07:12:35Z
dc.date 2007-01-30
dc.date.accessioned 2023-02-18T19:40:37Z
dc.date.available 2023-02-18T19:40:37Z
dc.identifier World Bank Economic Review
dc.identifier 1564-698X
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4444
dc.identifier.uri http://localhost:8080/xmlui/handle/CUHPOERS/249929
dc.description How exposure to risk affects economic growth is a key issue in development. This article quantifies both the ex ante and ex post effects of risk using long-running panel data for rural households in Zimbabwe. It proposes a simulation-based econometric methodology to estimate the structural form of a micro model of household investment decisions under risk. The key finding is that risk substantially reduces growth in this particular setting: the mean capital stock in the sample is (in expectation) 46 percent lower than in the absence of risk. About two-thirds of the impact of risk is due to the ex ante effect (that is, the behavioral response to risk), which is usually not taken into account in policy design. These results suggest that policy interventions that reduce exposure to shocks or that help households manage risk could be much more effective than is commonly thought.
dc.publisher World Bank
dc.rights CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO
dc.rights http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
dc.rights World Bank
dc.subject attrition
dc.subject business cycles
dc.subject economic decisions
dc.subject economic growth
dc.subject SOCIAL SCIENCES :: Business and economics :: Economics
dc.subject employment
dc.subject income
dc.subject insurance
dc.subject landless laborers
dc.subject productivity
dc.title Growth and Risk
dc.type Journal Article
dc.type Journal Article
dc.coverage Zimbabwe


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