Sangam: A Confluence of Knowledge Streams

Decision Analysis under the Threat of Disaster

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dc.contributor Kaplan, Todd
dc.contributor Chen, Jingnan
dc.creator Mu, D
dc.date 2022-09-05T09:11:06Z
dc.date 2022-09-05
dc.date 2022-09-03T11:56:34Z
dc.date 2022-09-05T09:11:06Z
dc.date.accessioned 2023-02-23T12:16:12Z
dc.date.available 2023-02-23T12:16:12Z
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10871/130667
dc.identifier.uri http://localhost:8080/xmlui/handle/CUHPOERS/258615
dc.description This thesis studies the behavior of the public under the threat of an extreme event with the use of laboratory and on-line experiments. Chapter 2 and 3 are about decision making in the possibility of a natural climate disaster. Chapter 4 is about decisions in an infectious disease pandemic. Chapter 2 relates to the impact of different warning systems on public risk preferences during sudden natural disasters. It shows that while increasing the information content of warnings is usually beneficial and increases trust in the warning system, it must be done with caution since better decisions (judged by higher profits) are not always made with an increase in information. Chapter 3 is about changing the mode and content of information distribution influences the reaction time of the public. We have conducted research on this topic and found that adjusting the emergency warning system can reduce unnecessary waiting by the public, accelerate their response time, and thus reduce unnecessary casualties and property losses. Chapter 4 is about the influence of an early warning system and information intervention on public behavior in major public health events (such as COVID-19). This result shows that the public act selfishly during the pandemic but can be influenced by suggestions. This finding explains why many countries have been mired in the effects of the pandemic, with massive job losses and labor shortages.
dc.description IFREE - International Foundation for Research in Experimenta
dc.publisher University of Exeter
dc.publisher Business School
dc.rights 2024-03-31
dc.rights http://www.rioxx.net/licenses/all-rights-reserved
dc.subject weather warning
dc.subject decision making
dc.subject uncertainty
dc.subject infectious disease
dc.subject decision time
dc.subject warning reliability
dc.title Decision Analysis under the Threat of Disaster
dc.type Thesis or dissertation
dc.type Doctorate in Economics
dc.type Doctoral
dc.type Doctoral Thesis


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