Sangam: A Confluence of Knowledge Streams

Predicting Remission Among Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis Starting Tocilizumab Monotherapy: Model Derivation and Remission Score Development

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dc.contributor Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Medical Engineering & Science
dc.creator Collins, Jamie E.
dc.creator Johansson, Fredrik D.
dc.creator Gale, Sara
dc.creator Kim, Seoyoung
dc.creator Shrestha, Swastina
dc.creator Sontag, David Alexander
dc.creator Stratton, Jacklyn
dc.creator Trinh, Huong
dc.creator Xu, Chang
dc.creator Losina, Elena
dc.creator Solomon, Daniel H.
dc.date 2021-04-13T19:44:01Z
dc.date 2021-04-13T19:44:01Z
dc.date 2020-02
dc.date 2019-10
dc.date 2021-03-19T15:03:07Z
dc.date.accessioned 2023-03-01T18:10:34Z
dc.date.available 2023-03-01T18:10:34Z
dc.identifier 2578-5745
dc.identifier 2578-5745
dc.identifier https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/130469
dc.identifier Collins, Jamie E. et al. "Predicting Remission Among Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis Starting Tocilizumab Monotherapy: Model Derivation and Remission Score Development." ACR Open Rheumatology 2, 2 (February 2020): 65-73 © 2020 The Authors
dc.identifier.uri http://localhost:8080/xmlui/handle/CUHPOERS/279035
dc.description OBJECTIVE: Most patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) strive to consolidate their treatment from methotrexate combinations. The objective of this analysis was to identify patients with RA most likely to achieve remission with tocilizumab (TCZ) monotherapy by developing and validating a prediction model and associated remission score. METHODS: We identified four TCZ monotherapy randomized controlled trials in RA and chose two for derivation and two for internal validation. Remission was defined as a Clinical Disease Activity Index score less than 2.8 at 24 weeks post randomization. We used logistic regression to assess the association between each predictor and remission. After selecting variables and assessing model performance in the derivation data set, we assessed model performance in the validation data set. The cohorts were combined to calculate a remission prediction score. RESULTS: The variables selected included younger age, male sex, lower baseline Clinical Disease Activity Index score, shorter RA disease duration, region of the world (Europe and South America [increased odds of remission] versus Asia and North America), no previous exposure to disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs and/or methotrexate, lower baseline Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index score, and baseline hematocrit. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.739 in the derivation data set and 0.756 in the validation data set. Patients were categorized into three remission prediction categories based on the remission prediction score: 40% in the low (less than 10% probability of remission), 45% in the intermediate (10%-25% probability), and 15% in the moderate remission prediction category (greater than 25% probability). CONCLUSION: We used easily accessible factors to develop a remission prediction score to predict RA remission at 24 weeks after initializing TCZ monotherapy. These results may provide guidance to clinicians tailoring treatment options based on clinical characteristics.
dc.format application/pdf
dc.language en
dc.publisher Wiley
dc.relation http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/acr2.11101
dc.relation ACR Open Rheumatology
dc.rights Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0
dc.rights https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
dc.source Wiley
dc.title Predicting Remission Among Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis Starting Tocilizumab Monotherapy: Model Derivation and Remission Score Development
dc.type Article
dc.type http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle


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